Charts and tables updated with 23.04 data. Please go here for missing definitions. Key findings:

• Belgium probably over reported Covid19 deaths
• New cases at Singapore are surging, mortality is still low
• No unified definition of Covid19 inflicted death obstructs country data comparison
• Country lock down does not compensate high population density

Deaths per 1 million population

• Calculate daily deaths per 1 million people (deaths_1M) defined as:
  (deaths in country on given day) / (country population size) * (1 million)
• Take all countries from ECDC data set with more than 10 cumulative Covid-19 deaths and more than 100 detected cases, sort descending by deaths_1M
• Take top 10 countries from above list and plot results

Isle of Man joined top group, it has population of 80 thousands, 15 deaths

No changes in above one million population countries group

Cases per 1 million population

Ranking created like the one for deaths:

• Calculate daily cases per 1 million people (cases_1M) defined as:
  (new cases in country on given day) / (country population size) * (1 million)
• Take all countries from ECDC data set with more than 10 cumulative Covid-19 deaths and more than 100 detected cases, sort descending by cases_1M
• Take top 10 countries from above list and plot results

Please note Luxembourg is 3rd in all countries ranking, it has around 600 thousands inhabitants. It seems to be well after infections peak.

Singapore cases are growing rapidly, death count is still tiny. We’ll keep an eye on it.

High and low cases mortality countries

• More than 20 cumulative deaths and 10000 cumulative cases
• Sort by cases mortality rate
• Take top 5 and bottom 5 from above list
• Add Germany to result

Sweden replaced Netherlands in top 5. Saudi Arabia joined bottom 5 (exceeded 20 deaths threshold)

As of 2020-04-23 there were 29 countries meeting 100 cumulative deaths and 10000 cumulative cases threshold. They are listed in table below sorted by cases mortality rate top down. Poland is among new countries in the group.

Country	pop2018	CumCases	CumDeaths	CumDeaths_1M	CasesMortality
France	66987244	119151	21340	318.6	17.91
Belgium	11422068	41889	6262	548.2	14.95
United Kingdom	66488991	133495	18100	272.2	13.56
Italy	60431283	187327	25085	415.1	13.39
Sweden	10183175	16004	1937	190.2	12.10
Netherlands	17231017	34842	4054	235.3	11.64
Spain	46723749	208389	21717	464.8	10.42
Mexico	126190788	10544	970	7.7	9.20
Iran, Islamic Republic of	81800269	85996	5391	65.9	6.27
Brazil	209469333	45757	2906	13.9	6.35
United States of America	327167434	842629	46784	143.0	5.55
China	1392730000	83876	4636	3.3	5.53
Ecuador	17084357	10850	537	31.4	4.95
Canada	37058856	40179	1974	53.3	4.91
Ireland	4853506	16671	769	158.4	4.61
Switzerland	8516543	28186	1216	142.8	4.31
Poland	37978548	10169	426	11.2	4.19
Portugal	10281762	21982	785	76.3	3.57
Germany	82927922	148046	5094	61.4	3.44
India	1352617328	21393	681	0.5	3.18
Austria	8847037	14924	494	55.8	3.31
Peru	31989256	19250	530	16.6	2.75
Japan	126529100	11772	287	2.3	2.44
Turkey	82319724	98674	2376	28.9	2.41
Korea, Republic of	51635256	10702	240	4.6	2.24
Chile	18729160	11296	160	8.5	1.42
Israel	8883800	14592	191	21.5	1.31
Saudi Arabia	33699947	12772	114	3.4	0.89
Russian Federation	144478050	57999	513	3.6	0.88

Country insight

Change in layout of this section we compare countries selected after lock down measures severity. Numbers on list below reflect country ranking

1. Belgium – moderate: business shutdown, sport activities outside allowed. Population density 376/km2
2. France – severe: business shutdown, stay at home order so no sports outside. Population density 104/km2
3. Sweden – relaxed: Keep social distance but some public places remain open. Population density 23/km2

It seems Covid19 impact grows with population density. In my opinion lock down measures efficiency is limited in densely populated areas.

Daily deaths

Belgium ranking can be overstated. There were comments Belgium reported all deaths in nursery houses for eledery people as Covid19 caused without actual virus presence test. This practice has been probably abolish recently. We’ll try to investigate it further. Please note there is no unified definition of Covid19 victim, so deaths reported in countries may adopt different criteria. Unfortunately there is no information on total daily deaths in ECDC data set.

Daily cases

I do hope France under reports cases, otherwise 18% cases mortality looks scary.

Cumulative cases and deaths

Newcomer – Poland

Poland matches standard pattern: Low testing capacity focuses on more severe cases with higher death probability. In result cases mortality goes up.

Population mortality

• Calculate cumulative deaths per 1 million people (cumdeaths_1M) defined as:
  (total deaths in country till given date) / (country population size) * 1 million
• Take countries with population above 1 million
• Sort by cumdeaths_1M descending
• Select top 5 from above list

Belgium qualified all deceased in nursery houses as Covid19 victims without testing for actual virus presence. The line should be revised down probably.

Covidmeter

San Marino reference line uptick due to additional death. Please remember population is tiny, every deaths is visible. Lack of common definition of Covid19 fatality can easily obscure this ranking.