{"id":1211,"date":"2020-10-29T22:07:27","date_gmt":"2020-10-29T22:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ijbd.eu\/?p=1211"},"modified":"2020-10-29T22:07:27","modified_gmt":"2020-10-29T22:07:27","slug":"covid-19-deaths-by-age","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/?p=1211","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19 deaths by age"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Covid-19 deaths are usually reported as daily totals. It would be interesting to have a look into more details like deceased people age or health condition like chronic illness. Surprisingly such a data are not easily available. I’ve managed to get some detailed data on Covid-19 deaths in Poland, you’ll find them in this post.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Data set<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Data presented here come form Poland Ministry of Health, I’ve got them on requests, they are not published regularly. The data represent period from 2020-10-09 to 2020-10-27. Received set has information on:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

  1. death date <\/li>
  2. death place<\/li>
  3. sex<\/li>
  4. age<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

    The set has no information on chronic illness. Other statements from ministry show 90% of Covid-19 positive deceases had preexisting illness. Chart below shows age distribution for entire set.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
    1. Very few people under 40 die with Covid-19<\/li>
    2. It would be super interesting to compare above distribution with remaining deaths distribution. Around 1200 die in Poland on daily basis, max Covid-19 positive deaths are 179 in the set. Unfortunately I have no access to the latter distribution. I believe both will be similar. For avoidance of doubts: It does not mean Covid-19 is not dangerous for individuals who contract it.<\/li>
    3. I believe epidemic dangerous for population should take its toll regardless of age, Covid-19 seems to focus on older ones<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

      Males and females<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Charts below show age distribution split by gender.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
      1. Men have significantly higher death count till 80, after 80 both distributions are almost identical<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n
        \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
        1. Men represent 58% of all deaths, male deaths are (1025-722)\/722=42% higher than female <\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

          Table below compares age distribution in numbers. Age 25% means 25% of deaths in group are under this age. Please note average lifespan in Poland is 78 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          <\/th>all<\/th>male<\/th>female<\/th><\/tr>
          total deaths<\/th>1747.0<\/td>1025.0<\/td>722.0<\/td><\/tr>
          average age<\/th>75.8<\/td>74.2<\/td>78.1<\/td><\/tr>
          most common age<\/th>82.0<\/td>82.0<\/td>87.0<\/td><\/tr>
          age 25%<\/th>69.0<\/td>67.0<\/td>72.0<\/td><\/tr>
          age 50%<\/th>78.0<\/td>76.0<\/td>80.5<\/td><\/tr>
          age 75%<\/th>85.0<\/td>83.0<\/td>87.0<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

          Conclusions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
          1. There are little fatalities under 40, just 27 out of 1747 or 1.5%<\/li>
          2. Covid-19 fatalities are much higher among men than women<\/li>
          3. Death age distribution shows Covid-19 does not represent a significant threat for population since it spares younger part if it.<\/li>
          4. Better quantitative analysis of Coviid-19 cases is needed. Number of cases and deaths are floated everywhere. Age of deceased was hard to get. I’ve seen no data on recovered ones like full\/partial recovery, time between infection and recovery, hospitalization rate, intensive care time etc. <\/li>
          5. Lock down or quarantine will not save us, working economy allowing better planning and execution of medical response will. <\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n

            <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

            Covid-19 deaths are usually reported as daily totals. It would be interesting to have a look into more details like deceased people age or health condition like chronic illness. Surprisingly such a data are not easily available. I’ve managed to get some detailed data on Covid-19 deaths in Poland, you’ll find them in this post. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-covid-19"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4qwq1-jx","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1211","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1211"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1211\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1220,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1211\/revisions\/1220"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1211"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1211"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijbd.eu\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1211"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}